摘要：本文利用2000年、2005年、2010年和2015年的生态系统分类数据，分析了闽三角城市群15年来各县市生态系统的时空变化特征，包括生态系统变化四个方面、每个时期的区域县市的转移矩阵、综合动态生态系统指数、以及推动这些变化的力量。结果表明：（1）2000年至2015年，闽三角地区城市群农田，森林和灌木生态系统总面积减少，城市，湿地和草地生态系统总面积增加。各种生态系统的区域变化和转移存在时空差异和模式。闽三角地区县市的生态系统的尺度和类型表明，农田与城市生态系统之间存在双向转移。此外，这两个生态系统的转移还存在时空差异。森林生态系统被转移到不同层次的农田，城市和草原生态系统中。在闽三角的东部，湿地大多转移到城市生态系统，在西部则大多转移到森林和农田。 （2）对于闽三角城市群的综合动态指数，从2000年到2015年，各时期的生态系统动态程度均高于前期，东部和中部的动态指数均高于西部和同一时期的南部。从2000年到2005年，综合动态指数低于0.2％，厦门和漳州龙海的动态指数从2005年到2010年较上期显着增加，且均超过0.9％。从2010年到2015年，动态指数变化较大的区域从厦门中心区域向东、南扩展。西北地区的动态没有充分增加。 （3）GDP、农业生产、林业和渔业，第二三产业、城市化率和永久居民的价值是影响生态系统的重要因素。在三角洲城市群的不同时期，这些社会经济指标和城市人口发展的驱动效应对农田，城市，森林和湿地生态系统具有不同程度的重要性。
关键词：闽三角地区城市群，生态系统类型转移，生态系统综合动态指数，驱动力
Abstract: This paper uses four years of ecosystem classification data, from 2000, 2005, 2010 and 2015, to analyse the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of the ecosystems of counties and cities in the Min Delta urban agglomeration over 15 years across four aspects, including changes in the ecosystem area for each period, a transfer matrix of the counties and cities, the comprehensive dynamic ecosystem index, and the forces driving these changes. The results show that: (1) from 2000 to 2015, the total area of farmland, forest and shrub ecosystems in the Min Delta urban agglomeration decreased, while the total area of urban, wetland and grassland ecosystems has increased. There are spatiotemporal differences and patterns in the area change and transfer of various ecosystems. The series of scales and proportion of ecosystem types in the counties and cities of the Min Triangle show that there is a two-way transfer between farmland and urban ecosystems. In addition, there are spatiotemporal differences in the transfer of these two ecosystems. Forest ecosystems are transferred into farmland, urban and grassland ecosystems at different levels. In the eastern part of the Min Triangle, wetlands are mostly transferred to urban ecosystems, and the western regions are mostly transferred to forests and farmland. (2) For the comprehensive dynamic index of the Min Delta urban agglomeration, from 2000 to 2015, the degree of ecosystem dynamics was higher in each period than the previous, and the dynamics in the eastern and central parts were higher than those in the west and south for the same period. From 2000 to 2005, the comprehensive dynamic index was below 0.2%. The dynamic index of Longhai in Xiamen and Zhangzhou increased significantly from 2005 to 2010 from that of the previous period, and their values all exceeded 0.9%. From 2010 to 2015, the area with a large change in the dynamic index expanded to the east and south from the central area of Xiamen. The dynamics in the northwest did not sufficiently increase. (3) The GDP, value of agricultural production, forestry, and fisheries, secondary and tertiary industries, urbanization rate, and permanent residents are important factors influencing ecosystems. The driving effects of these socioeconomic indicators and urban population development have different degrees of significance on farmland, urban, forest and wetland ecosystems during different periods of the Delta's urban agglomeration.
Key: Min Delta urban agglomeration, ecosystem type transfer, Comprehensive Dynamic Index of Ecosystems,driving force
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