模拟大规模地震灾害风险情景下的移民关键因素 Key factors on migration assuming disaster risk of a megathrust earthquake:

以日本太平洋沿岸地区为例 A case study in the Pacific coastal area of Japan

作者:Ryohei Yamashita


摘要:地震学家预计在未来几十年内,日本太平洋沿岸附近会发生大地震。这项研究于2015年10月在居住在日本高知县和神奈川县的6000名受试者中进行,调查了沿海地区居民对城市与乡村地区安全性的看法,以及这些观点对人们搬迁至非沿海地区意愿的影响。该研究表明揭示了对这些地区的安全性和适应性的不同评估结果,评估对防灾迁移的影响程度极小。


关键词:Nankai特大地震,区域安全,抗性,移民




Abstract: 地震学家预计在未来几十年内,日本太平洋沿岸附近会发生大地震。这项研究于2015年10月在居住在日本高知县和神奈川县的6000名受试者中进行,调查了沿海地区居民对城市与乡村地区安全性的看法,以及这些观点对人们搬迁至非沿海地区意愿的影响。该研究表明揭示了对这些地区的安全性和适应性的不同评估结果,评估对防灾迁移的影响程度极小。 Seismologists anticipate the occurrence of a massive earthquake with a hypocenter near Japan's Pacific coast within decades. This study was conducted in October 2015 among 6000 subjects residing in Kochi and Kanagawa Prefectures in Japan, and it investigated ways that residents of the coastal areas perceive the relative safety of urban versus rural areas and the effects of such views on people's desire to relocate to a non-coastal area. This study revealed that the evaluation of safety and resilience to the areas were different and that the extent to which the evaluation affects migration for disaster prevention is extremely small.


Key: Nankai megathrust earthquakes, Regional safety, Resilience, Migration


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